2012 NBA Mock Draft 2.0 (Final)

After Anthony Davis, this draft is a crapshoot. Teams will be scrambling up until their pick to pull of trades in order to get the player that they covet most. Dion Waiters, Austin Rivers and Andre Drummond will be players that teams will trade n enormous package for if they slip out of the top 7. Don’t be surprised to see blockbuster deals either, the Rockets are doing everything in their power to bring in Dwight Howard and the Thunder could be looking to deal James Harden because they might not be able to re-sign him next summer.

1.New Orleans Hornets-Anthony Davis-PF-Kentucky
Davis is the clear-cut number one player in this draft. A 6’11 athletic PF who is a natural shot-blocker and can play great help defense beat. Davis was a shooting guard growing up, hit a growth spurt and is now a forward, playing all positions helped him develop a great I.Q. He is fantastic on defense and can knock down shots from the elbow, only 19 and continuing to improve all he needs to do is add weight.

2.Charlotte Bobcats- Thomas Robinson-PF-Kansas
The Bobcats want to trade this pick badly, but the asking price is astronomical. I feel that Charlotte is stubborn and refuses to trade unless it receives two first round picks (which Cleveland might do). Michael Jordan’s team needs production from his players and he will get that with a double-double machine in Thomas Robinson. Robinson is a high energy player who is great on both ends of the court, Charlotte can’t possibly screw this up.

3.Washington Wizards-Bradley Beal-SG-Florida
After going out and getting Emeka Okafor and Trevor Ariza, the biggest hole in the Washington depth chart is a shooting guard. Jordan Crawford has shown decency at times but has been inconsistent thus far in his career. The 19 year-old Beal is a pure shooter who loves to run the fast break. John Wall needs someone to pass to; Beal is a perfect fit.

4.Cleveland Cavaliers-Michael Kidd-Gilchrist-SF-Kentucky
Cleveland seems to be reluctant to trade up to the no. 2 pick but they will get a phenomenal player at no. 4.  MKG is defensively an athletically ready for the NBA and the NCAA champ is versatile. If the Cavalier’s cornerstone, Kyrie Irving, has any say in this and Bradley Beal is gone, he wants MKG. Irving and Kidd-Gilchrist played together on the same high-school team and won a state title. The 6;8 forward loves to run the floor and would be great in transition with last year’s Rookie of the Year.

5.Sacramento Kings- Harrison Barnes-SF-North Carolina
Harrison Barnes is a smooth small forward who has a certain swagger to his game. He can play one-on-one and can catch and shoot. It is looking like the no. 5 could be getting traded to Houston and then again to Orlando. No matter which of those teams end up with this pick, expect Barnes to be selected here. The Kings need a player who can slow the game down and they have a hole at SF with Tyreke Evans refusing to player there.

6.Portland Trailblazers-Damian Lillard-PG-Weber State
Watched him a lot in the 2011-2012 season, watched a lot of tape on him and he is one of my favorite players in the draft. Lillard is a fantastic scorer from the point guard position and that is just what the Blazers need. He has the speed to go coast-to-coast, a killer crossover and can get to the rim. Andre Drummond is a sexy pick here but Portland needs scoring, I don’t feel that Felton is the answer.

7.Golden State Warriors-Perry Jones III-PF-Baylor
Brandon Rush had an amazing year last year shooting the ball, delaying the Warriors need of going out and finding a replacement for Monta Ellis. Perry Jones III is a lanky, lock-down defender who can play all 3 positions along the front court if need be. PJ3 has been known to not “show up” for some games which scared some GMs away, otherwise he would have been a top 5 pick. Marc Jackson is easily one of the league’s most motivating coaches and he will find a philosophy to get the most out of Perry Jones III’s game.

8.Toronto Raptors-Austin Rivers-SG-Duke
The Raptors need three things: A player who can score, someone to bring in fans and a guy who can take over a game-Austin Rivers is all of that. Although I am not a huge Rivers fan, I do admit that he is a pretty darn good player given the circumstance that he is the go-to guy on a team. The Duke freshman showed he was cold-blooded late in games and that he could score against double teams and win games by himself. The Raptors roster would not look bad next year if they land Rivers: Calderon/Nash (rumored), Rivers, Derozan, Bargnani, Valanciunas (last year’s top pick).

9.Detroit Pistons-Dion Waiters-SG-Syracuse
After trading away Ben Gordon, Detroit has a gaping hole at shooting guard. Dion Waiters is a player who can come in, play defense, draw fouls and can get to the rim. Waiters is explosive, strong and extremely quick with his cuts; he needs to work on his jumpshot though. He is a bit over-hyped for me but a lot of teams like him. The former Syracuse star has drawn comparisons to Dwayne Wade and if he becomes a fraction of Wade it will make Brandon Knight happy.

10.New Orleans Hornets (from Minn)-Jeremy Lamb-SG-Connecticut
It doesn’t look like Eric Gordon is going to be re-signing with New Orleans leaving a need for a scorer. The Hornets will go to my favorite player in the draft. Jeremy Lamb. The sophomore out  of UCONN is a player who shares the rock, defends and can score in a variety of ways. If he would have stayed another year he would have been a top 3 pick without a doubt. Still developing, Lamb is terrific at shooting off the screen and also pull-up and shoot. Jeremy Lamb is the silent assassin and is the ultimate team player.

11.Portland Trailblazers-Andre Drummond-C-Connecticut
Andre Drummond is the real wild card of this year’s draft. He poses the biggest upside and the biggest bust as many big men from UCONN have in the past (Okafor & Thabeet). Since the collegiate season has ended, Drummond has lost 20 lbs. and now moves quicker than ever. With his premier shot-blocking abilities and amazing athleticism he could get picked as high as number 5. Lacking an offensive game hurts his stock a little bit but players can develop a shot, a center that can run the floor is what every team wants nowadays. Portland fills their top two needs with these picks and have the best draft of any team in the last 10 years if they get Lillard and Drummond.

12.Houston Rockets (from Mil)-Tyler Zeller-C-North Carolina
The Rockets are doing everything in their power to draft Dwight Howard. If that fails, they could be taking the second best center in the draft in Tyler Zeller. Zeller is a mature player (4 years at UNC) and is NBA ready. He is not as athletic as Drummond or Leonard but is certain a better all-around player who will contribute on both offense and defense. The Rockets need a big man, especially after trading away Dalembert.

13.Phoenix Suns-Terrence Ross-SG-Washington
The Suns’ front office should be working on their 2013 draft because they will be picking which will most likely be center Nerlens Noel. There are a ton of holes on this roster, therefore the Suns need to draft a player who can carry a team. Terrence Ross is a great shooter who dominated the Pac-12, averaging 16.4 points and 6.4 rebounds per game as a sophomore. The 6’6 guard is a bit under the radar right now, but could do a lot for the Phoenix franchise.

14.Milwaukee Bucks (from Hou)-Meyers Leonard-C-Illinois
After trading away Andrew Bogut, the Bucks are in search of their next center. Coming out as a freshman, Leonard has a lot of question marks, but also a lot of buzz. There is no question that he is a great athlete and will fit with the Bucks nicely, but he is a high maintenance player who is a big project moving forward. At 7’1, Leonard shows great athleticism by being able to run up and down the court on fast breaks but he fails to be consistent on defense. The hype for Leonard is unreal, but he will need to prove himself by playing his heart out. Milwaukee fans will fall in love with Leonard immediately if drafted there.

15.Philadelphia 76ers-John Henson-PF-North Carolina
Henson is the player with the highest reward in the 2012 NBA Draft. The UNC power forward is 6’10 with the quickness of a shooting guard and smarts of a point guard. With a long wingspan, Henson is a great shot blocker and on offense he has a hook shot that is automatic. The Sixers could lose Elton Brand do to the amnesty clause. Henson is an upgrade on defense and is a great fit with the Sixers’ athleticism. I don’t think Henson will fall this far, but who knows with the possible reaches on all of the shooting guards.

16.Houston Rockets-Moe Harkless-SF-St. John’s
If Houston keeps any of their first round picks it will be used on the Big East’s Rookie of the Year. Moe Harkless showed great upside after posting great numbers in the Big East as a freshman. Harkless is a 6’9 small forward who shows power when driving but can also create his own shot. Great dribbling skills, getting to the rim, shooting over defenders and running the floor are all great features of his game. He has a lot of growing to do, especially on the defensive side, but at only 19 the potential is unreal.

17.Dallas Mavericks-Kendall Marshall-PG-North Carolina
Jason Kidd is a free agent and even if he goes back to Dallas it won’t be for long.  This year’s draft is short on point guards and Dallas can’t pass one up. Marshall is the best assist-man in the draft and his court vision is unbelievable. Dallas is a team that likes to shoot a lot and Marshall will keep everyone on the squad happy.

18.Houston Rockets (from Minn)-Arnett Moultrie-PF-Mississippi St.
Moultrie is an athlete who excelled at the combine and drew interest from a ton of teams. A great size at 6’11, 223, he is a great defender but needs to work on his offensive game. It would be nice to see him develop some low post moves but Moultrie is going in the first round for his defensive play.

19.Orlando Magic-Terrence Jones-PF-Kentucky
Orlando doesn’t really know what it wants to do right now between having an unhappy superstar center and a bunch of free agents (Jameer Nelson & Ryan Anderson). Terrence Jones has had a bit of an attitude problem in the past but has shown maturity after playing two years with Coach Calipari. At 6’10 Jones could play either small forward or power forward. Speed, power and grind are all adjectives that come up when talking about this kid. Once Jones gets in the zone there is no stopping him. The Magic need help rebounding if there is no Dwight and Jones is great on the offensive glass. I don’t see him sliding past 19.

20.Denver Nuggets-Tony Wroten Jr.-PG-Washington
An 18-year-old, 6’6 point guard whose athleticism is off the charts?- Sign me up. I saw a lot of Tony Wroten through recruiting and skills competitions and he is going to be something special. Not a great shooter…yet, but his ability to find open teammates is unreal. You instantly fall in love with him when you watch him play, the past couple years Denver has been drafting pure athletes; Wroten foots the bill. Not to mention, Andre Miller’s contract is expiring.

21.Boston Celtics-Royce White-SF/PF-Iowa State
With the Big 3 (or what is left of it) aging and breaking down, the Celtics need playmakers for Rondo to dish to. Royce White is a point forward who loves to have the ball and can muscle his way to the basket. He doesn’t necessarily need to start right away with Jeff Green and Paul Pierce still in the lineup, which will allow White to figure out if he is a power forward or a small forward. He averaged 13.1 points per game 9.2 rebounds per game and 5.1 assists per game at Iowa State. This pick makes too much sense for the Celtics, especially if Lamb, Waiters and Rivers are all gone. 

22.Boston Celtics-Jared Sullinger-PF-Ohio State
Sullinger is by far the scariest player in the draft. I fear that the Celtics fall into this trap and end up selecting the injury prone question mark. Sullinger is 6’9 and plays too small to be a power forward but too slow to be a small forward. His play resembles Glen “Big Baby” Davis who the Celtics selected several years ago. I don’t think Sullinger will be in the league long between his back problems and his lack off skills but I could be wrong. Would have been a lottery pick a year ago, don’t be surprised if he slides to the second round.

23.Atlanta Hawks-Marquis Teague-PG-Kentucky
With all of the top big men off of the board the Hawks look to add depth to their back court. What better way of doing that is there than drafting your point guards little brother. Teague is only going in the first round via lack of PG play in the draft but he will add depth to the backcourt of the Hawks. Teague is speedy and has deceptively active hands on defense, could grow into a solid point guard.

24.Cleveland Cavaliers-Fab Melo-C-Syracuse
The Cleveland frontcourt is very thin and is filled with underperforming forwards. Anderson Varejao is potenatiallya 15 and 10 guy but they need to improve on defense. The controversial seven-footer out of Syracuse will help the Cavs right away. Fab Melo is a skilled shot blocker and would produce coming off of the bench.

25.Memphis Grizzlies-Evan Fournier-SG-France
O.J. Mayo is a free agent and Tony Allen is the offensive equivalent to a vocational high school player’s. Evan Fournier is a crafty shooting guard who can shoot the three ball consistently. Memphis is known for drafting foreign players and there is a risk they run with drafting a player that could possibly stay in France but they can’t pass up on the 6’7 shooting guard in my opinion.

26.Indiana Pacers-Will Barton-SG-Memphis
Will Barton is an athletic shooting guard who can score in a variety of ways. Averaging 18 points and 8 rebounds a game at Memphis, Barton would have a chance to take Paul George’s starting position. A lanky defender who can force turnovers is a great value this late in the first round.

27.Miami Heat-Festus Ezeli-C-Vanderbilt
The Miami heat are very old on the frontlines (Howard & Anthony) and have seen little growth in Dexter Pittman. The senior out of Vanderbilt makes perfect sense. Not only is the former Commodore a get defender but he does not need the ball on offense, allowing the big 3 to do their thing. Although this may not be a sexy pick for South Beach, it could be the right one.

28.Oklahoma City Thunder-Andrew Nicholson-PF-St. Bonaventure
Throughout the whole 2012 season the Thunder failed to get offense from big men. Kendrick Perkins and Serge Ibaka averaged 12 points per game…combined. Andrew Nicholson opened eyes when the Bonnies made it to the NCAA tournament. Nicholson is a versatile power forward who can shoot as well as finish around the hoop. The 6’10 forward has a smooth shot and plays with his heart all game long.

29.Chicago Bulls-John Jenkins-SG-Vanderbilt
What the Bulls really need is a healthy Derrick Rose. Other than that, they could use a guy who can stretch the floor and knock down threes. Rip Hamilton didn’t produce like the Bulls had hoped and Ronnie Brewer is not an offensive player. John Jenkins is the best shooter in this years draft and is lethal if left open. The sharpshooter averaged close to four three-pointers a game while shooting 44%.

30.Golden State Warriors (via San Antonio)-Draymond Green-F-Michigan St.
Green is one of the best players in college basketball history and he will be one of the best pleasant surprises in the NBA. With a similar build to Paul Pierce, Green is a fantastic rebounded and has the basketball I.Q. of most NBA coaches. Green is a stat stuffer and is a the type of player that Golden State needs….mature. He is not fast but his footwork gets him in the perfect position to make plays, the Warriors need to bulk up, and no better player to draft at this spot than the 2012 Big 10 Player of the Year. 

Notable 2nd Round Picks 

31.Charlotte Bobcats-Kim English-SG-Missouri

34.Cleveland Cavaliers-Doron LambSG Kentucky

37.Toronto Raptors-Tyshawn Taylor-Combo Guard-Kansas

46.New Orleans Hornets-Scott Machado-PG-Iona (biggest steal of draft)

47.Utah Jazz-Robbie Hummel-SF -Purdue

Players to Keep an Eye on This Baseball Season

Making the right free agent acquisitions in a fantasy baseball league can make the difference between winning a fantasy championship and missing the playoffs. This season, like any other, you will need to keep an eye on the free agents and create a “watch list” that will fill your teams holes.

Players to Watch

Ben Revere (CF, OF)- Minnesota Twins
Available in 95.4% of ESPN standard leagues.
Ben Revere may be one of the three Minnesota Twins players I would take on my team; other two being Joe Mauer and Josh Willingham. Ben Revere is not in the starting lineup as of opening day but he is still going to get at-bats and playing time. Revere is a straight steals guy and could be used quite a bit late in games. I like Revere a lot, he is the first guy in line to take a starting spot if an injury occurs; also, if Denard Span does not perform Revere could take the starting centerfield spot from him. I project Ben Revere to hit .283 with 42 steals and around 71 runs scored.

Jason Bourgeois (LF, CF, RF, OF, 2B)-Kansas City Royals
Available in 95.6% of ESPN standard leagues.
Bourgeois was traded to the Kansas City Royals mid-way through spring training. As of right now he is the fourth outfielder on the roster. However, Manager Ned Yost said that both Lorenzo Cain and Jeff Francouer must perform in order to keep their spots. He later went on to say that Jason Bourgeois reminds him a lot of Bill Hall, who was a great guy to have because he was a fantastic pinch hitter and could do many things. With that being said, I expect Ned Yost to utilize Bourgeois at 2B (never started a game there before) because the Royals have not had anyone step up to the plate from that position. Bourgeois is another steals guy who could provide a better average than Revere. Last season, he stole 31 bags in only 283 at-bats. If you translate that to 400 at-bats, he will be a steal in your fantasy league… no pun intended.

Mat Gamel  (1B, 3B)-Milwaukee Brewers
Available in 21.1% of ESPN standard leagues.Mat Gamel will be the Brew Crew’s starting first baseman on opening day due to Prince Fielder’s departure. Most likely Gamel will not be providing a .320 average 40 home run season like Prince Fielder has done in the past, Gamel has some upside. Gamel is a power-hitter and will be batting behind Ryan Braun who had a .332 batting average and a .397 on-base percentage last season. I still expect the Brewers to score a lot of runs this year and Gamel will help provide some power in that lineup. He should hit 20+ long balls and roam somewhere around 90 RBI.


Jose Altuve (2B)-Houston Astros
Available in 71.3% of ESPN standard leagues.
There aren’t many bright spots for the Houston Astros… if any. But Jose Altuve is still available in many standard 12 team leagues. He does not provide much pop and won’t score many runs via hitting in a depleted lineup but there is much upside to Altuve. He is only 21 years old and is on the rise, a .301 batting average and 22+ steal season is very much attainable. The only major downfall to Altuve is that he is only eligible at 2B, but, second base may be the thinnest position fantasy-wise so he could be a great pick-up.

Felix Doubront (SP)-Boston Red Sox
Available in 98.1% of ESPN standard leagues.
Felix Doubront is not a household name by any means, but he has been deemed the number four starter in the Red Sox rotation. Doubront is a lefty that has the ability to pitch late into games. Pitching in Boston should get Doubront a good amount of wins given the fact that the offense provides. If you are in a league that categorizes quality starts Doubront has potential to be one of the upper-tier guys. He will not knock your sox off with the his strikeout numbers, but he should get somewhere around 12-14 wins and a reasonable ERA.

Must-Have Guy

Dexter Fowler (CF, OF)-Colorado Rockies
Available in 73.1% of ESPN standard leagues.
The Rockies starting centerfielder is a guy that I have been big on throughout his whole career. Once again, he is another steals guy so if you need steals I would go after Fowler before any other free agent. There is a lot to like about Fowler, he is batting second (in front of Carlos Gonzalez & Troy Tulowitzki) and this is his ultimate chance to have a breakout season. Last year, Fowler was sent down to Colorado Springs (AAA) in order to work on his mechanics. In the off-season Fowler fine-tuned his swing and added 7 lbs. of muscle; in a spring training interview, a reporter asked him how he felt. Fowler said he feels great and that the ball flies off his bat now. Fowler could be a 19 home run, 52 steal, 90+ runs scored player. If he is a free agent in your league, I advise you to pick him up.

 

Notable Mentions
SS-Sean Rodriguez-Tampa Bay Rays
Key Attribute: Versatility, a starter that is eligible at SS, 2B and 3B.

SP-Corey Luebke- San Diego Padres
Key Attribute: Quality pitcher that is in a friendly ballpark; should post a low WHIP.

1B-Byan LaHair-Chicago Cubs
Key Attribute: Power, could hit all the home runs that Anthony Rizzo was expected to hit.

Bold Predictions For All 30 Ball Clubs

At the beginning of the of the 2011 season, if you would have said that Curtis Granderson was going to hit 40+ home runs and Ian Kennedy would reach 20+ wins people would have called you crazy. But those uncanny things happen each year; those players finished with 41 home runs and 21 wins respectively.

This year is going to be a big year for the MLB, more teams are starting to assemble superstar squads while other teams are calling up prospects getting ready for the future.  There will be something that happens to each team that no one has thought of, these will be my bold predictions of the 2012 season.

AL West

Seattle MarinersIchiro clubs out a career-high 17 home runs. He has always had pop in his bat but never used it because he was a leadoff hitter. Now he is batting third and knocking some runs in. Also, Jesus Montero will start less than 20 games at the catcher position.

Los Angeles Angels– Mark Trumbo struggles to get implemented/ keep his spot in the lineup (1B, 3B, DH, OF). He won’t even hit 19 home runs and he won’t be able to keep his average above .240. On a positive note, Kendrys Morales will stay healthy for the most part and knock out 26 home runs while C.J. Wilson gets a team-high 24 wins.

Texas Rangers– Mike Napoli ends up getting moved, again, at the trade deadline. Neftali Feliz has an impressive 13-8 record as a starter. Joe Nathan gets hurt (not bold) and Alexei Ogando becomes the closer getting 33+ saves.


Oakland Athletics
– Yoenis Cespedes scorches 37 doubles and leads the team with 22 home runs and 89 RBI. Pitcher, Brandon McCarthy, makes the All-Star team and finished the season with 14 wins and a 2.96 ERA with a sub-1 WHIP. Manny Ramirez also takes the DH spot from Jonny Gomes after serving his 50-game suspension and he hits 13 dingers.

AL Central

Detroit Tigers– Alex Avila struggles on offense while the rest of the Tigers do not. Austin Jackson finally proves that the Tigers made the right choice in trading Curtis Granderson for him and company. Jackson steals 34 bases and hits a career-high .294.

Cleveland Indians– Josh Tomlin leads this team in wins with only 12.  Travis Hafner and Grady Sizemore miss over a combined 210 games. Ubaldo Jimenez still can’t find his groove in Cleveland.


Minnesota Twins
– Bottom-dwellers of the AL Central and the league for that matter, which ends up being the worst division in the MLB.  Mauer does play, and hits .318, but it doesn’t help the team. Ben Revere ends up taking Denard Span’s CF spot and steals 51 bases.


Kansas City Royals
– Royals finish second in division with 88 wins. Eric Hosmer wins the AL MVP despite not making the playoffs. He bats: .330, 29 long-balls and 117 RBI. Mike Moustakas hits 26 home runs and Tim Collins makes the All-Star team as a setup man.

Chicago White Sox– Jake Peavy finally makes a comeback, dealing out a team-leading 14 wins. Matt Thornton finishes the season as the closer but not a good one and Konerko is the only player on the team to bat over .300.

AL East

Boston Red Sox (World Series Champs)– Mark Melancon was brought in to be a setup man but he ends up leading the club in saves (28).  Salty hits 23 home runs but Ryan Lavarnway will takeover as catcher by the end of July. Defensive prodigy Jose Iglesias gets called up and sent back down because he doesn’t know how to use a bad and Crawford is still irrelevant by the end of the season.

New York Yankees– Ivan Nova becomes the most consistent pitcher. Curtis “The Grandy Man” Granderson hits only 23 home runs while Jeter and A-rod combine for 26. Cano finishes third in MVP voting behind Hosmer and A. Gonzalez.


Toronto Blue Jays
Ricky Romero wins AL Cy Young Award, getting 227 K’s and 18 wins with 26 quality starts. Yunel Escobar hits .310 with 84 RBI and 22 steals. Kyle Drabek doesn’t make his way into the rotation either.


Tampa Bay Rays
– Ben Zobrist hits 24 home runs while snatching 26 bases and he will start  games at 2B, 1B, LF, RF and DH. Desmond Jennings hits a shocking 26 HR and B.J. Upton gets traded to Houston.


Baltimore Orioles
– Mark Reynolds moves to 1B, Brian Roberts comes back and Robert Andino plays most of the year at 3B. Jake Arietta wins only 9 games but has a 3.20 ERA. Adam Jones gets traded so Baltimore can stockpile on prospects… I don’t know why they want to though.

NL West

Arizona Diamondbacks (Lose in World Series)– Trevor Cahill shows he misses pitching at the Coliseum and gets rocked. Ian Kennedy doesn not have the same type of season as last year. Tyler Skaggs gets promoted early and leads the team in strikeouts and ERA. Justin Upton hits 34 HR and steals 28 bases.


San Francisco Giants
– Freddy Sanchez hits only .263, no one on the team hits over 23 home runs and Lincecum has a 3.49 ERA. Brian Wilson is lights out this year but he will have no save opportunities, only gets 31 saves.


Colorado Rockies
– Dexter Fowler becomes a superstar. Jamie Moyer gets 13 wins, Tulowitzki wins NL MVP and Jordan Pacheco hits 24 home runs from the hot corner. Helton and Giambi both announce they will retire at end of season, freeing up first base for 3B prospect Nolan Arenado who will move to 1B.

San Diego Padres– Carlos Quentin hits only 16 home runs. Cameron Maybin leads the team with 26 bombs and 38 steals. Edinson Volquez and Corey Luebke both tie with 15 wins but the Padres still struggle.


Los Angeles Dodgers
– Dee Gordon hits well over .300 but Andre Ethier becomes the team’s MVP. Ethier his .328 and knocks in 108 runs while Kemp struggles to hit 25 home runs and doesn’t even reach 100 RBI. Kershaw wins Cy Young by a landslide.

NL Central

Houston Astros– Jordan Lyles leads the team in wins with 13 and Jordan Schafer robs 23 bases. Unfortunately, a bunch of prospects get called up too early and end up having terrible numbers.


Chicago Cubs
– Anthony Rizzo is a disappointment, hitting less than five home runs. Marmol gets traded along with Matt Garza (separate deals), leaving Jeff Samardzija to have the best season as a Cubs pitcher in 2012.


Cincinnati Reds
– Aroldis Chapman eventually becomes the closer and strikes out over 100 as a reliever. Votto has a bad year after signing a monster contract, 20 HR and bats only .289. Chris Heisey leads the team as a platoon OF with 27 HR.

Milwaukee Brewers– Mat Gamel provides some pop with Prince Fielder gone. Braun has another 30/30 season, K-Rod gets traded and George Kottaras becomes everyday starting catcher.


Pittsburgh Pirates
– McCutchen becomes elite, hitting 31 home runs and getting 34 steals, he earns the highest WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Erik Bedard doesn’t even start 21 games and James McDonald gets 197 K’s.


St. Louis Cardinals
– Jon Jay has a breakout season and Wainwright gets 18 wins. David Freese loses his spot in the lineup and Matt Holliday only hits 18 homers. Jason Motte blows a bunch of saves and Fernando Salas takes over.


NL East

New York Mets– Jason Bay is back and hits 22 home runs.  David Wright knocks 19 out of the park before getting traded to the Chi-Sox in exchange for Gavin Floyd and Alexei Ramirez.


Atlanta Braves
– Michael Bourn hits an abysmal .268 but still steals 59 bases and scores 99 runs. Jason Heyward stays healthy all season and knocks out 38 home runs and wins the Home Run Derby.

Miami Marlins– Hanley Ramirez is runner-up for the NL MVP Award, hitting 33 home runs and knocking in 114. Ricky Nolasco rings up 132 batters and gets 16 wins. Miami Marlins win the division. Oh yeah, Giancarlo (formerly Mike) Stanton leads the MLB with home runs, dropping 48.


Philadelphia Phillies
– As Chase Utley comes back, Jimmy Rollins gets hurt, leaving Freddy Galvis in the lineup and moving him back to his natural shortstop position. Hunter Pence is the unsung hero and hits a quiet 30 home runs.


Washington Nationals
Bryce Harper is called up right after the All-Star break but is not successful in his first half-season. Ian Desmond gets traded and Strasburg gets shut down early for precautionary reasons. Washington finishes third in division.

Top 5 Fantasy Players at Each Position (Outfield & Pitching)


Outfield

Jose Bautista-Toronto Blue Jays
Analysis: Last season Joey Bats proved me wrong. I thought he would be a one-year wonder but then he went out and slugged 43 homeruns. His average draft position is 6, very good for average unlike many power hitters. Eligible at 3B and OF, he is going to hit 50 homeruns in the near future. Don’t pass on him.

Matt Kemp-Los Angeles Dodgers
Analysis: Kemp took the league by storm last year. Was only 13 batting average points away from winning the NL triple crown. This year he projected himself to have a 50/50 season (home runs/steals), now I don’t think that will happen but I do still think he is the best Centerfielder and a late first round fantasy pick.

Jacoby Ellsbury-Boston Red Sox
Analysis: Last season he provided the Bo-Sox with some pop. He cranked out 32 home runs, a .321 average and 39 steals. If the Red Sox would have made the playoffs he would have won the MVP award easily. I don’t think he will mimic these power numbers, but still expect .300+ average and 35+ steals.

Ryan Braun-Milwaukee Brewers
Analysis: I feel that Prince Fielder’s departure could have a slight affect on the Hebrew Hammer; he is still going to get his though. This is a guy that can get you 30 HR and 30 steals every season for the next 5 years. Also hits for average, one of the few five-tool players left in the MLB.

Andrew McCutchen-Pittsburgh Pirates/Justin Upton-Arizona Diamondbacks
Analysis: These guys are both very similar, like Ryan Braun they are both 5-category players (Home runs, Batting Average, Fielding, % Steals and RBI). Upton is younger than McCutchen and provides more pop but if you are in a strikeout league (negative batter-stat) than McCutchen is a better selection. McCutchen will score a lot of runs and now he is starting to get into his “power prime” (26 years old). McCutchen could potentially have a 30/30 season whereas Upton may hit 34 dingers and have 100+ RBI. Both are fantastic picks, especially in keeper leagues. Both can also be selected in the third round of most 12-team fantasy leagues.

Starting Pitchers

Clayton Kershaw-Los Angeles Dodgers
Analysis: Kershaw has always been a personal favorite of mine. He lead the league in ERA last season (2.28), dealt 5 complete games- 2 shutouts, had 21 wins and a sub-1 whip. That is Cy Young worthy if you ask me. Kershaw will keep getting better, look for his strikeout count to raise from (248) to possibly 260 this season.

Justin Verlander-Detroit Tigers
Analysis: It is tough to put the reigning Cy Young/ AL MVP winner second, but I don’t see how he can improve his numbers. The thing that ”scares” me is that Verlander is a power-pitcher. Meaning he will always go back to his fastball when he is in trouble. Don’t overanalyze my use of the word “scared,” he is still a first round pick, he will still get 220+ strikeouts, and with that lethal Tigers offense mixed with a horrendous AL Central he could post 25 wins.

Roy Halladay-Philadelphia Phillies
Analysis: Still hasn’t had a bad season that I can remember. Last year he had a 2.35 ERA, 19 wins, 220 strikeouts and 8 complete games. Halladay will never let you down and always comes up in the clutch. We all remember the historic no-hitter he threw in his postseason debut. Oh yeah, he also threw a perfect game in the regular season. No risk with taking him at any draft pick number.

Cliff Lee-Philadelphia Phillies
Analysis: Another guy that will get you a ton of innings while keeping his ERA and WHIP down. If you are in a dynasty league that might affect Cliff Lee’s draft stock because he is 33, but, he has a variety of pitches he can use to get batters out. He may be the smartest pitcher in the game and he should have yet another season with an ERA under 2.5 and K-9 around 8.5.

Jered Weaver-Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim
Analysis: Last year he started 33 games and still managed a 2.41 ERA and a 1.01 WHIP. Also, he had an incredible streak of innings without allowing an earned run. Weaver has great mechanics, look for him to reach the 20-win mark and get over 200 strikeouts.

Closers
Craig Kimbrel-Atlanta Braves
Analysis: The Braves have been a good team for a long time. Kimbrel solidifies the back end of a really good bullpen. His K/9 is nearly 15 and he should get you over 40 saves.

Jonathan Papelbon-Philadelphia Phillies
Analysis: Maybe he just needed a change of scenery. I expect him to reach his full potential in Philly. Will get you a ton of strikeouts as well as saves.

Mariano Rivera-New York Yankees
Analysis: Yes he is up there an age, but he is the game’s most efficient closer. He still has a mean cutter and he sits the best hitters down repeatedly. Won’t blow more than 4 saves, can’t go wrong with him.

Heath Bell-Miami Marlins
Analysis: Yes, everyone is hopping on the Marlins’ bandwagon but he has tallied up the most saved in the last 3 seasons combined. Tough division but once the Marlins have a lead going into the ninth, chalk it up as a win.

Jose Valverde-Detroit Tigers
Analysis: A lot of fantasy leagues (ESPN, CBS, Yahoo!) have him ranked low and I cannot see the answer as to why. Last season, Valverde did not blow a save until the later part of the second half. Detroit is going to be a powerhouse, Valverde has no one jeopardizing his closer role, expect him to get 45+ saves.

Pre-NBA Trade Deadline Possibilities

This year’s NBA season has been shortened via lockout. This year has been flooded with fantastic storylines such as: Jeremy Lin, Kyrie Irving bringing relevance back to Cleveland and Kobe, the masked assassin. Although there has been some not-so-great headlines, we still have the trade deadline drama and now the trade deadline has been later than ever. Tomorrow at 4:00 the teams of the NBA will no longer be able to discuss dealing players with one another. One major trade happened late last night sending Kwame Brown, Ekpe Udoh and prolific scorer, Monta Ellis to Milwaukee in exchange for Andrew Bogut and Stephen Jackson. I expect to see a lot of movement between today and tomorrow’s deadline as teams try to add one more piece that could help them get to the post-season.

Which Teams Need One More Piece?

Minnesota Timberwolves
Key Need: Veteran Shooting Guard

Los Angeles Lakers
Key Need: Point Guard

Atlanta Hawks
Key Need: Skilled Big Man

How Can These Teams Fill These Holes?

Jamal Crawford-Minnesota is currently ninth in the Western Conference standings and they have a great nucleus of young talent. Kevin Love, Derrick Williams and Ricky Rubio played great together in the first part of the season, but earlier this week against the Lakers, Ricky Rubio went down with a torn MCL muscle. With that injury occurring, Luke Ridnour will be forced back into the starting point guard role rather than playing the 2, making Jamal Crawford a great fit in Minnesota. The T-wolves have some spotty shooters in Wayne Ellington and Wesley Johnson. Crawford could bring the ball up on offense as a backup point guard, create his own shot and also make clutch shots at the end when Kevin Love is double-teamed. Portland has made it known that Jamal Crawford is up for trade, but the price needs to be right; if the T-wolves make a trade I feel they would have to give up Ellington, and Anthony Tolliver AT LEAST. Portland also made it known that Gerald Wallace could be up for grabs, so maybe Wallace and PF/SF Michael Beasley could also be in the mix pending salary cap.



Brandon Jennings/Ramon Sessions-
Derek Fisher is aging and he seems to have lost some of his greatness. The Lakers need a guy that can be a spark plug and score on his own when they can’t get it to Kobe Bryant. Milwaukee could get a lot from the Lakers and they could also give the Lakers what they want. I feel that Milwaukee needs to deal Brandon Jennings if they want to make the playoffs because I don’t see how Jennings and Monta Ellis can play without the ball, or coexist for that matter. A potential deal could involve Brandon Jennings and Drew Gooden for Pau Gasol and possibly Metta World Peace. Helping out both teams greatly. Ramon Sessions is also a possibility for the Lakers; he is a pass-first point guard and fills up the whole stat sheet. The Lakers need a guy that is willing to do the dirty work. Sessions would come cheaper, but Jennings might be the better fit. My prediction would be that Cleveland gives up Sessions and Antawn Jamison for Pau Gasol.

Chris Kaman- Trading for the second best German player in the NBA makes perfect sense for the Atlanta Hawks. Josh Smith trade talks have been looming for about as long as Rajon Rondo talks have been. I do not really understand what direction the Hornets want to take as a franchise but they could use a young super-stud in Josh Smith. If the lottery goes accordingly they could end up with the Anthony Davis who is said to be best player in next year’s draft, a hopefully healthy Eric Gordon and Josh Smith. The Hawks need a big man badly, Horford has been out with a torn pectoral muscle all season and the Hawks need more production from the interior. Ivan Johnson has stepped up his game but he is not offensively gifted and 2nd round pick Keith Benson is not even on the active roster.  Kaman has a variety of post moves he could utilize and he is a gritty player, he will get rebounds, blocks and has the ability to kick it out when the defense collapses. Atlanta should really take a look at Chris Kaman. One possibility could be Josh Smith for Chris Kaman, Carl Landry and a draft pick.

Preseason Predictions

The NBA season is less than a week away and there is much to talk about. No awards are certain until the season is over but here are some things to keep an eye on.

Rookie of the Year: Bismack Biyombo- C- Charlotte Bobcats
Runner Up: Marshon Brooks- SG– New Jersey Nets
Bold Prediction: Jan Vesely- SF/PF– Washington Wizards

Hmmmm, I’m going to say this nicely, Bismack is a freak of nature. 6’9, 243, can run the floor, 7’6 wingspan and a raw talent. Bismack has a knack for defending and although he cannot shoot, he can still get the ball in the bucket. A center that can defend and run the floor is probably the most lethal guy in sports- behind a dual threat quarterback. The Congolese center has skill where it is hard to teach and it seems as if he is willing to learn. Michael Jordan has his hands full but is sold on this kid. Biyombo seemed to have been working on his offensive game in the offseason. Biyombo was the first player ever to record a triple-double in the Nike Hoops Summit. One thing this young talent does not lack is confidence, in a pre-draft interview Bismack said that one day he WILL lead the NBA in blocks and rebounds. Now that is a tall order to fill but you can’t blame the kid for being excited or wanted to be the best. However, there is a slim chance he won’t be able to play in the NBA his rookie season because he has one year left on his contract with his team in Spain. Biyombo is currently in negotiations with his team attempting to buyout his old contract. It will be a great disappointment if he doesn’t play this year because although he might not be locking down Dwight Howard or Andrew Bogut, he will still be competing every night and  making a name for himself.

If Marshon Brooks can mirror what he did at Providence College offensively then the NBA better watch out.This kid does not know what a slump is, he is not afraid to shoot and he will get to the hoop at will. Brooks is lanky, quick, he can slash and he can score in any way imaginable. Brooks could very well be the Nets’ leading scorer but in order to get the respect from his coach and his teammates, he will need to defend and become more of an all around player. At Providence, Brooks always had the ball in his hands, that will not be the case in NJ and he will need to learn how to play without the ball.

As for Vesely, I believe this kid is the most explosive player out of the draft. I guarantee that we will see him in a dunk contest before his career is over. Vesely will be playing  a little bit of both forward positions and his versatility helps him so much in the Wizards’ system. In recent years we’ve had the Nash and Dirk connection, the Marbury and Amare’ connection, the Kidd and Vinsanity tandem and last year we had the whomever is playing PG to Blake Griffin alley-oop fest. John Wall to Jan Vesely could top all of these. This kid is gifted both athletically and instinctively. Listed at 6’11 it is hard to imagine, but, Jan plays bigger than what he is. This Czechoslovakian moves like a 2 guard, flies like a Dr J., and brings the power of a Shaq. Vesely is not afraid to defend and the alley-oops he will be receiving from John Wall will be a nightly occurrence on Sportcenter’s Top 10.

Surprise Playoff Team:
 Utah Jazz

After last year’s untimely departure of both Deron Williams and Jerry Sloan, Tyrone Corbin seemed unprepared to coach the Utah Jazz. However, Corbin was the  assistant under Sloan for a number of years and with this being his first full season as the Jazz coach I expect him to surprise a lot people and I think the Jazz make the playoffs. The Jazz do not have a star player so to speak but they have a fantastic makeup for their style of play. Lottery pick Enes Kanter seems to be the starting center. Rebounding experts Al Jefferson, Paul Millsap and Derrick Favors will cycle the big men positions. The young players for the Jazz need to really step it up big time. Last year’s number one draft pick Gordon Hayward had a rough transition from college to the pros. Look for Hayward to make a name for himself in this offense, he and Devin Harris will be a quality back court with a lot of flexibility because of the strength of the men down low. Utah has always been about defense and this year will be no different. Raja Bell is a two-time All-NBA defender and C.J Miles is a great defender at the three position. They are both expected to start for Tyrone Corbin’s squad. Rookie Alec Burks was drafted out of Colorado in the first round, he is a great defensive shooting guard who can score and get to the free-throw line; but he will need to develop a long-range shot in order to be successful. The Jazz aren’t going to outscore people but they will defend strongly and keep every game close. I see the Jazz making the playoffs as a six seed and possibly going up against last year’s NBA champions.

Coach of the Year: Larry Drew- Atlanta Hawks

The Hawks have been somewhat of a disappointment in recent years because they have been expected to go deep into the playoffs. This year with the emergence of the super-teams (Bulls, Knicks, Heat) the Hawks will be under the radar. They should make a run and possibly make it to the Eastern Conference Finals.

Comeback Player of the Year: Ben Gordon- SG- Detroit Pistons
Runner-Up: Tracy McGrady– SG- Atlanta Hawks

Detroit is an ugly place for basketball right now.  Rodney Stuckey has been a problem in that locker room, Ben Wallace is not exactly a leader and Rip Hamilton’s contract was just bought out. Now that Hamilton has gone to Chicago, look for ex-Bull, Ben Gordon, to become the leader of the team and go back to his old form of draining shots. I expect him to be the leading scorer of this team and to help out rookie point guard Brandon Knight.

It seems like every year T-Mac is a candidate for Comeback Player of the Year. In recent years McGrady has been plagued by injury and inconsistency but he should have a solid season this year pending health. Maybe new scenery is all he needs to bring his game back to life. T-Mac has never been a great shooter but he has been a good scorer throughout his career and for he has terrific handles and passing ability for a guard his size. McGrady will get his chances in Atlanta when Joe Johnson is on the bench and maybe finally, just finally he will win a playoff series.

On the Verge of Super-Stardom: Josh Smith- Utility– Atlanta Hawks
Runner Up: Eric Gordon- SG- New Orleans Hornets
Bold Prediction: Luis Scola- PF- Houston Rockets

Josh Smith’s potential has been blocked by Joe Johnson and Jamal Crawford controlling the ball 90% of the time. Now that Jamal Crawford has made his exit look for Josh Smith to finally breakout. I feel he is the most underrated player in the league and that he could be a top five player. Smith is gifted in all aspects of the game, he was first recognized as the insanely athletic dunker who took the Slam Dunk contest title from Jason Richardson in 2005. Smith is among the leagues best highflyers and shot blockers, look for him to put up crazy numbers now that he will finally be touching the ball because Joe Johnson is starting to decline and the team will need another scorer.

Eric Gordon is the new face of a struggling franchise. He was the main component of Chris Paul trade and he has tremendous upside. Going into his  ourth year he has improved his PPG, SPG, AST and 3PM each season. Last year he averaged 22 points per game and he played in the second half of the season recovering from a broken wrist but still put up ungodly numbers for the Los Angeles Clippers. Gordon can score from anywhere on the floor (even Jimmer range) and he can get to the basket at will.  Last season Gordon averaged 6.2 free-throw attempts per game and made 5.1, which is among the top 20 in each category. Gordon is ready to take over a team and now he won’t be outshined by a number one overall draft pick. Look for Gordon to dominate this year and he should average around 26 PPG where he will be in elite company.

Most Valuable Player: Kobe Bryant- SG- Los Angeles Lakers
Kobe has the most rings out of active players in the NBA and people are always anti-Kobe. Analysts and fans say he can’t win on his own, he’s too old, or he doesn’t have the hunger anymore. Truth of the matter is- you can never count Kobe Bryant out.  The Black Mamba has battled injuries in the past (thumb, pinky, knee) and no one has given him credit for playing through it or for playing at an all star level. Kobe recently had “miracle” knee surgery, also called PRP treatment. Although there is not much released information to the public about this type of surgery, Kobe has made it known that he will be back with a vengeance. Throughout this early training camp, Kobe has seemed to have gotten his hops back and thank the lord. The Lakers could be in for a long season and Kobe seems to be the only bright spot, I expect him to have multiple 40+ games this season.

NBA Champions: Miami Heat
They have a year under their belts, they’ve brought in a lock-down defender in Shane Battier. Haslem will be healthy and look for a healthy, slimmed down Dexter Pittman to get playing time. Rumor also has it the gun show could be going to South Beach… I mean… Gilbert Arenas. Simply there is too much talent on this team not to win. I will be disappointed if they don’t.